Holt-Winters Forecasting Method That Takes into Account the Effect of Eid
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Quantile Versions of Holt-winters Forecasting Algorithms
We propose new versions of Holt-Winters (HW) and seasonal Holt-Winters (SHW) time series forecasting algorithms. The exponential smoothing construct is identical to HW/SHW, except that the coefficients are estimated by minimizing a given quantile error criterion, instead of the usual squared errors. We call these versions quantile HW/SHW (QHW/QSHW), which amounts to performing HW/SHW under an a...
متن کاملMethodology of the Monthly Index of Services Annex B: The Holt-Winters Forecasting Method
This is the simplest form of exponential smoothing and can be used only for data without any systematic trend or seasonal components. Given such a time series, a sensible approach is to take a weighted average of past values. So for a series, y 1 , y 2 ,…, y n , the estimate of the value of y n+1 , given the information available up to time n, is: y w y w y w y or i n i i n n y w y − ∞ = + ∑ = ...
متن کاملHolt-Winters method with general seasonality
Institute of Mathematics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic provides access to digitized documents strictly for personal use. Each copy of any part of this document must contain these Terms of use. This paper has been digitized, optimized for electronic delivery and stamped with digital signature within the project DML-CZ: The Czech Digital Mathematics Library The paper suggests a...
متن کاملRobust forecasting with exponential and holt-winters smoothing
Robust versions of the exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing method for forecasting are presented. They are suitable for forecasting univariate time series in the presence of outliers. The robust exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing methods are presented as recursive updating schemes that apply the standard technique to pre-cleaned data. Both the update equation and the selection of the smoo...
متن کاملCoFold: an RNA secondary structure prediction method that takes co-transcriptional folding into account
Existing state-of-the-art methods that take a single RNA sequence and predict the corresponding RNA secondary structure are thermodynamic methods. These aim to predict the most stable RNA structure. There exists by now ample experimental and theoretical evidence that the process of structure formation matters and that sequences in vivo fold while they are being transcribed. None of the thermody...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
سال: 2015
ISSN: 2376-9491
DOI: 10.11648/j.sjams.20150306.15